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DHT: 10CSV

05 Apr 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.3%
Monza
16.6%
Draw
9.1%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

2.57

Monza

vs
0.83

Pescara

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.0%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.8%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
5.0%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).