Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Sturm Graz
24.2%
Draw
19.0%
Ried
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sturm Graz
vs
0.97
Ried
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).