Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Ibiza
23.9%
Draw
52.2%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ibiza
vs
1.69
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).