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HHT: 10CSV

27 Sept 2023 · 18:30

Aris

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.9%
Olympiakos
29.1%
Draw
9.0%
Aris

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Olympiakos

vs
0.37

Aris

Markets

BTTS24.0%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.553.1%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
23.1%
0-0
18.2%
2-0
16.5%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).