Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Alaves
37.0%
Draw
29.1%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Alaves
vs
0.69
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS26.7%
Over 0.577.0%
Over 1.542.8%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
23.0%
1-0
18.0%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
0-3
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).