Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Las Palmas
28.4%
Draw
13.2%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Las Palmas
vs
0.47
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS27.4%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.1%
0-0
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
1-1
10.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.0%
1-2
2.4%
4-0
2.2%
0-2
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).