Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Tamworth
26.1%
Draw
34.2%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Tamworth
vs
1.44
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).