Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Marseille
19.3%
Draw
14.3%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Marseille
vs
0.78
Angers
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).