Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Monaco
20.2%
Draw
22.1%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Monaco
vs
1.17
Lorient
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).