Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Shrewsbury
27.5%
Draw
45.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Shrewsbury
vs
1.20
Exeter
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).