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16 Jul 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.9%
Korona Kielce
30.3%
Draw
27.8%
Legia Warszawa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Korona Kielce

vs
1.00

Legia Warszawa

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).