Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Stevenage
31.0%
Draw
32.9%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Stevenage
vs
0.90
Exeter
Markets
BTTS36.2%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.555.1%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).