Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Sheffield United
28.9%
Draw
27.8%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Sheffield United
vs
1.05
Brentford
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).