Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Harrogate
24.9%
Draw
17.7%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Harrogate
vs
0.90
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).