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DHT: 11

19 Oct 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.3%
Dinamo Moskva
20.0%
Draw
12.7%
Akhmat Grozny

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Dinamo Moskva

vs
0.94

Akhmat Grozny

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).