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28 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.6%
Barnet
12.5%
Draw
4.9%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

2.83

Barnet

vs
0.60

Fylde

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
3-0
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
4-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.9%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).