Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Monza
25.2%
Draw
14.4%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Monza
vs
0.74
Chievo
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).