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25 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.8%
Rijeka
33.0%
Draw
22.2%
Hajduk Split

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Rijeka

vs
0.78

Hajduk Split

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.2%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.5%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).