Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Forest Green
27.5%
Draw
20.2%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Forest Green
vs
0.88
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).