⚽ FootballData
0 – 0
DHT: 00CSV

23 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
6.1%
Stranraer
29.1%
Draw
64.8%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

0.24

Stranraer

vs
1.32

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS15.9%
Over 0.578.5%
Over 1.546.5%
Over 2.520.5%
Over 3.57.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
27.4%
0-0
21.5%
0-2
18.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-1
7.0%
1-0
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-1
0.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-4
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).