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DHT: 10CSV

09 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.6%
East Fife
40.2%
Draw
12.1%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

East Fife

vs
0.31

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS16.4%
Over 0.569.3%
Over 1.534.2%
Over 2.512.0%
Over 3.53.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
30.7%
1-0
26.1%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-0
0.8%
2-2
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).