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AHT: 01CSV

23 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.7%
Dunkerque
21.3%
Draw
23.9%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Dunkerque

vs
1.10

Rodez

Markets

BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).