Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Akron
26.2%
Draw
23.2%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Akron
vs
1.13
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS57.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).