Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
Palermo
12.1%
Draw
4.4%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Palermo
vs
0.58
Lecco
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-0
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
5.2%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).