Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Villarreal
18.6%
Draw
13.6%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Villarreal
vs
0.93
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).