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25 Nov 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.4%
Como
19.9%
Draw
12.7%
FeralpiSalo

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Como

vs
0.91

FeralpiSalo

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).