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17 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.2%
Antalyaspor
43.4%
Draw
36.4%
Kocaelispor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.57

Antalyaspor

vs
0.84

Kocaelispor

Markets

BTTS27.7%
Over 0.572.7%
Over 1.544.2%
Over 2.516.9%
Over 3.55.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
27.3%
0-1
17.6%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-0
4.0%
2-1
3.3%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).