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12 Aug 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.6%
Konyaspor
26.8%
Draw
9.6%
Istanbulspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Konyaspor

vs
0.62

Istanbulspor

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).