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AHT: 01

03 Aug 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Akron
23.1%
Draw
50.2%
Dinamo Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Akron

vs
2.09

Dinamo Moskva

Markets

BTTS69.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-3
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
0-3
4.2%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).