Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Como
22.4%
Draw
12.8%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Como
vs
0.78
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).