Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Clermont
26.6%
Draw
25.3%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Clermont
vs
0.84
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).