⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 12CSV

30 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
48.0%
Bradford
26.1%
Draw
25.8%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Bradford

vs
0.94

Walsall

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).