Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Luton
22.1%
Draw
25.3%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Luton
vs
1.09
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).