Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Ath Bilbao
24.7%
Draw
15.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.74
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).