Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.9%
St Pauli
16.8%
Draw
11.3%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
St Pauli
vs
1.02
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
6.0%
4-1
5.4%
4-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).