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AHT: 02CSV

29 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Macclesfield
27.0%
Draw
34.4%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Macclesfield

vs
1.13

Salford

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).