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AHT: 01CSV

13 Aug 2023 · 21:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.5%
Leganes
29.4%
Draw
26.0%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Leganes

vs
0.85

Andorra

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.6%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).