Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Crawley Town
19.2%
Draw
47.7%
Faversham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Crawley Town
vs
2.34
Faversham Town
Markets
BTTS77.2%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.561.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
1-1
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-3
5.6%
3-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-3
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).