Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Alloa
31.2%
Draw
52.4%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Alloa
vs
1.27
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-0
16.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).