Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Las Palmas
29.6%
Draw
35.4%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Las Palmas
vs
1.11
Valencia
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).