Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Colchester
25.2%
Draw
49.2%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Colchester
vs
1.47
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).