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DHT: 01CSV

28 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Yeovil
31.4%
Draw
31.5%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Yeovil

vs
1.04

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).