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24 Nov 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Bodrum FK
38.8%
Draw
20.6%
Dynamo Makhachkala

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Bodrum FK

vs
0.58

Dynamo Makhachkala

Markets

BTTS27.7%
Over 0.576.1%
Over 1.545.4%
Over 2.518.9%
Over 3.56.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
23.9%
1-0
19.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
2-2
1.6%
0-3
0.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).