Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Bolton
25.3%
Draw
39.2%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Bolton
vs
1.25
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).