Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.0%
Man United
13.1%
Draw
4.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Man United
vs
0.65
Southampton
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.9%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).