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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Coleshill Town
23.2%
Draw
47.3%
Worcester Raiders

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Coleshill Town

vs
1.69

Worcester Raiders

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).