Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.6%
Cadiz
23.2%
Draw
46.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Cadiz
vs
1.74
Almeria
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).