Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.3%
Bayern Munich
4.8%
Draw
1.9%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
4.47
Bayern Munich
vs
0.73
Hertha
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.596.7%
Over 2.589.0%
Over 3.576.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
9.3%
3-0
8.3%
5-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
5-1
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
4-2
2.5%
1-0
2.4%
3-2
2.2%
5-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).