Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Girona
28.4%
Draw
33.7%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Girona
vs
1.14
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).