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AHT: 01

23 Apr 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.8%
Hajduk Split
27.8%
Draw
16.3%
Istra 1961

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Hajduk Split

vs
0.76

Istra 1961

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).